Teacher YiPublic
AI stocks · Overnight trading
Anthropic 上市，AI 股还有一波吗？我更留意夜盘的急涨急跌
Original Chinese post
我看上市前后，AI 芯片股有机会被带起来。但一只新股能点火，不等于整个板块能一路涨。交易时间拉长以后，夜里冲上去的价格，第二天能不能守住，比第一根大阳线更值得看。
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MOOX · Independent perspectives
Teacher Yi’s Views
Markets. Charts. The thinking behind the view.
A space for my own market observations, updated when I have something to share. Read the reasoning, revisit the charts, and follow how each view develops.
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Public market review
公开复盘：加密回调出现了，但不能说此前预测全部正确
Original Chinese post
ETH跌破原支撑，BTC与MSTR出现回落；美股却走出了修复。逐项核对方向、价位与时间：哪些得到支持，哪些偏差明显，哪些还没到验收期。
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Member research
October 8–November 7 monthly research
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Member research
MSTR / BTC multi-timeframe MACD research
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This week and next: nine-market scenario charts
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Teacher YiPublic
MSTR
MSTR: Watching $101, then $137—and why I am still waiting for a second bottom test
My base case is a choppy decline over roughly the next two months: first watch for support near $101, then a possible rebound toward $137, followed by another test of the prior-low area. Mid-to-late December 2026 through January 2027 is a potential recovery window. A new bull market in 2027 remains a hypothesis, not a confirmed outcome.
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Teacher YiPublic
BTC · ETH
BTC、ETH 反弹来到通道压力区：我为什么开始防范冲高回落
Original Chinese post
我的基准思路偏防守：ETH 接近下降通道上沿，BTC 也在测试局部通道压力；如果突破不能站稳，而利率与资金面的支撑又转弱，接下来更需要防范回落。这是一个等待价格确认的偏空情景，不是认定今天必跌，更不是仅凭一次 MACD 死叉就宣布下跌趋势。
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Teacher YiPublic
BTC
BTC：反弹仍可能延续，9月下旬重点看动能能否跟上
Original Chinese post
当前更像修复反弹，而不是已经确认的新一轮大趋势反转。短线仍有冲高空间，真正要观察的是周线零轴与日线量价配合。
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Teacher YiPublic
MSTR
MSTR：先看周线修复，再看回踩能否形成更高低点
Original Chinese post
长期偏建设性，不代表短线会直接突破。171附近是重要压力参考，90–105只是后续结构成立时的观察区。
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Teacher YiPublic
ASTEROID
ASTEROID：先收回下降通道，再讨论修复空间
Original Chinese post
价格结构仍受损，日线底背离只提供观察理由。有效收回跌破的通道下沿，是后续情景成立的前提。
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Teacher YiPublic
RKLB
RKLB：70–71未收回前，反弹后仍防下行压力
Original Chinese post
观察至10月中旬，基准仍是弱反弹后承压。60.5是关键回测位置，失守后再看55。
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Teacher YiPublic
WTI / USOIL
WTI原油：下降通道内反复，基准不是直线暴跌
Original Chinese post
到10月中旬，重点看下降通道能否维持。原帖倾向反弹承压、震荡偏弱，参考区域为92、87、80。
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Teacher YiPublic
SOXL
SOXL：先反弹后回落，突破趋势线不等于反转
Original Chinese post
观察至10月18日，先看127–135压力区，若延伸再看147；156不是本轮基准目标。
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